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Thursday, October 17, 2024

Florida Governor Race 2022 Polls: DeSantis likely to Win, Charlie Crist and Niki Fried in a close contest

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Florida Governor Race 2022 Polls: Governor Ron DeSantis is in the driving seat to be re-elected to another term as Florida Governor.

A Close Contest is on the Cards in the Democratic Party primary with both Charlie Crist and Nikki Fried on par both on Google Search and Social Media Sentiment.

After winning by less than a point in 2018 against Andrew Gillum, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis is expected to win re-election, as he leads most polls. His Democratic opponent will be chosen in a primary on August 23, 2022.

Florida Governor Race 2022 Polls: Candidates

A. Democratic Primary

  • Charlie Crist, U.S. representative and former Republican governor of Florida
  • Nikki Fried, Florida commissioner of agriculture
  • Annette Taddeo, state senator and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2014

B. Republican Primary

  • Ron DeSantis, incumbent governor
  • John Joseph Mercadante, Republican National Committee official and candidate for governor in 2018
The Democratic primary is expected to be competitive with former Republican-turned-Democrat Charlie Crist the favorite according to polls. The Republican primary should be a cakewalk for the incumbent as he remains deeply popular with the Republican base and has received Trump’s endorsement. Hence, no primary polls could be conducted on the Republican side. DeSantis is seen as a potential 2024 presidential nominee in the event Trump does not run again.

Florida Governor Race 2022 Polls: Latest Democratic Party Primary polls

Polling Company

Period

Charlie Crist

Nikki Fried

Public Policy Polling

Aug 10-11

33%

36%

Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)

Aug 4-10

38%

27%

Polls show Charlie Crist with a decent lead, averaging 41% in the polls, while Fried polls at 29%. The two most recent polls, both conducted in August show a much closer race. Public Policy Polling is the only poll conducted so far that shows Fried with a lead, however, it is within the Margin of Error (+/- 6%).

Democratic Party Primary, Google Search Comparison

Charlie Crist

Nikki Fried

February 2nd, Last 7 Days

44%

56%

Democratic Party Primary, Social Media Sentiment Comparison

Charlie Crist

Nikki Fried

Net Social Media Sentiment

-20%

-20%

Florida Governor Race 2022 Polls: Latest General Election Polls

Polls have been conducted asking head-to-heads between the incumbent and Crist as well as Fried.

His lead against Fried is over double digits while he leads by 8 points against the former Governor.

A. Ron DeSantis v Charlie Crist

Polling Company

Fieldwork

Ron DeSantis

Charlie Crist

Suffolk University

Jan 26-29

49%

43%

St Pete Polls

Nov 18-19

51%

45%

Redfield and Wilton Strategies

Nov 9

46%

40%

A. Ron DeSantis v Nikki Fried

Polling Company

Fieldwork

Ron DeSantis

Nikki Fried

Suffolk University

Jan 26-29

51%

40%

St Pete Polls

Nov 18-19

51%

42%

Redfield and Wilton Strategies

Nov 9

50%

37%

The latest Florida Governor poll by Suffolk University gives Ron DeSantis the lead over his opposition. DeSantis maintains a comfortable 6% point lead over Charlie Crist while against Nikki Fried he has a lead of 11%.

Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)‘s poll has some interesting bits of information. It shows why DeSantis is favoured to win another term.

  • Ron DeSantis has an approval rating of 52%, with 43% disapproving. 42% of Floridians strongly approve of his job as Governor.
  • It shows DeSantis in a close race against Crist, leading 46% to 43%. 7% remain undecided and 3% would vote for someone else
  • It however shows him with a commanding lead against Nikki Fried as he leads her by 10 points, 50% to 40%.
  • According to the recall vote, it shows a polled electorate that voted for Biden for 3 points, 50% to 47%, when Biden lost by 3 points in 2020.
  • Read: Florida Senate Race 2022 Polls
General Election, Social Media Sentiment Comparison

Ron DeSantis

Charlie Crist

Nikki Fried

Net Social Media Sentiment

-45%

-20%

-20%

Florida Governor Race 2022 Polls: Latest Campaign News

1. Florida Gov Asks if Black House Rep District Constitutional

2. Florida halts redistricting effort after DeSantis asks Florida Supreme Court to weigh in

Florida Governor Race 2022 Polls: Latest Videos

Gov. DeSantis on Banning Critical Race Theory in Florida

Florida Introduces Bill Banning Schools From Discussing Sexual Orientation

Florida Governor Race 2022 Polls: Latest Tweets

Originally tweeted by Ron DeSantis (@GovRonDeSantis) on February 2, 2022.

Because of our coordinated efforts, Florida will be able to protect our coastal and inland infrastructure for the first time ever while also having the dedicated funding to keep projects moving.

Why would the Governor of Florida not post anything on the start of #BlackHistoryMonth today? His “white comfort” bill hasn’t passed yet, so maybe he’s uncomfortable.

Florida Governor Race 2022 Polls: Racial Demographics of Florida

As per the 2020 Census figures

Demographic

Proportion

White American

51.5%

Hispanic American

26.5%

African American

14.5%

Asian Americans

2.9%

Multiracial

3.7%

Others

0.9%

Most of Florida’s Hispanics are Cubans. In fact, Florida as a state due to its close proximity to Cuba has the highest proportion of Cuban Americans in the country. Most of the community is well known for its antipathy to Communism or Socialism due to most of the community being forced to migrate due to the actions of the Communist government of Cuba.

There’s a large chunk of Puerto-Ricans in Florida, especially in the Orlando Metro area. They moved to Florida due to its cultural similarities, due to the poor economic conditions in Puerto Rico and after Hurricane Maria devastated the island in 2018. The remaining Latino population is very diverse, hailing from various countries from South America including Mexico, Colombia, Venezuela etc.

Florida has been crowned as one of the best places to retire due to its weather and beaches. Thus the state also has a large retiree population. 20% of the population is over 65 years of age.

Florida Governor Race 2022 Polls: Party Registration

Florida has been a reliable swing state since 1992 fiercely contested between the 2 major parties.

In the last 20 years, the Republican party has grown more powerful in Florida and has been able to win over most state-level elected offices. Currently, except the Agriculture Commissioner, it holds nearly each and every single office in the state including the 2 Senate seats and 16/27 US House Representative Seats.

As per the latest figures released by the Florida Secretary of State:-

Registered Republicans are 35.77% of total voters

Registered Democrats are 35.93% of total voters

Registered Independents are 26.54% of total voters

Original source can be found here.

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